The Wagner Group: Poland is your next target?

Is Poland the next target of the Wagner Group? An analysis of tensions Geopolitical

Recent reports indicate that more than 100 mercenaries of the Wagner Group they are moving towards the Suwałki corridor, a small stretch of the NATO territory separating the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad from Belarus. The Prime Minister of Poland, Mateusz Morawiecki, has described this movement as "a step towards a new hybrid attack on Polish territory".

The term "hybrid attack" is used to describe attempts to manipulation of the migratory flow by the Belarusian regime, a This manoeuvre puts additional pressure on the European Union in the context of of sanctions against Minsk.

A hundred of PMC Wagner mercenaries have been deployed to the area of Suwałki Gap (the territory of Poland and Lithuania, which separates Belarus from Russia's Kaliningrad region) - Polish Prime Minister Mateusz @MorawieckiM during a visit to the factory in Gliwice, where the… pic.twitter.com/HNg4asJITH

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 29, 2023

The Suwałki corridor, near the Belarusian city of Grodno, has experienced an increase in border activity with more than 16,000 attempts of crossing the border illegally this year, according to the Polish prime minister.

The recent statements of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, have raised great alarm, suggesting that Poland could be next. target of the Wagner militias. Lukashenko mentioned in a meeting with the Russian President Vladimir Putin in St. Petersburg, which the Wagner Group He expressed his desire to move west.

‼️‼️Vladimir #Putin reminds #Poland where it got its Western territories from pic.twitter.com/c1EUo6WyCe

— Matreshka 🌺🇷🇺🇧🇾🇰🇿🇷🇸🇨🇦 (@MatreshkaRF) July 21, 2023

In response to rising tension, Poland has begun to deploy a significant number of troops on its border with Belarus. The Minister of Defense of Poland, Mariusz Blaszczak, claimed that two brigades of more than 1,000 Soldiers and 200 equipment units have been deployed in the east, which demonstrates its willingness to respond to any attempt at destabilisation at your border.

During the meeting in St. Petersburg, Lukashenko also presented Putin with a map which, according to him, showed a Polish plan to attack Belarus. This Affirmation comes at a time of high tension, taking into account the warning Putin made on July 21 about any attack on Belarus.

🇵🇱🇧🇾 Poland’s paniked about #Wagner PMC attacking country while #migrants show off how easy it is to breach border.

Using nothing but hacksaw and some patience, cheerful illegal migrants film themselves entering Poland through supposedly sturdy $175 million fence built by Warsaw pic.twitter.com/cV4Sss2uIQ

— Across The Line (@AcrossTheLine11) July 29, 2023

The Russian Federation has made it clear that it will consider any aggression against Belarus as a direct attack on itself. According to the media 'Politico', Putin assured that Russia would respond with all the means available in the country, interpreting it as a subtle threat of the use of weapons Nuclear.

Therefore, the geopolitical situation in the region is reaching a level of significant tension, as the implications of a possible conflict they could have serious consequences for the stability of the whole of Europe.